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Do you ever think that web hosting will ever get to the point of such saturation, that the number of web hosts will start to shrink again or what?
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At some point, that will happen. There will always be a bit of room for the small host though. Competition is good for the end users, as it keep the prices down and the offers generous. Even if hosts start disappearing/closing, in the long run the good providers are the ones more likely to survive, so it's not all bad.
Personally, I try not to see things in "good" and "bad" notes. The market finds itself where market forces push it to.